25
décembre
2018

DECEMBRE 2018

A QUAND QE4 ?

[Most Recent Quotes from www.kitco.com] [Most Recent Quotes from www.kitco.com]

December 25, 2018 - A XMas crash for stocks but Gold & Silver are up...exactly as forecasted!


Updated Sections: World Stock Market indexes (PF-charts & short candles), 
Recession Proof shares (COMPQ-PF & short candle), Silver

We even defined the levels of the 1st bearish stop for most Stock Markets....see section for World Stock Market Indexes and the end of the RED ARROW


December 24 , 2018 - Merry Xmas and a Happy New Year -


Updated Sections: World Stock Market indexes (PF-charts), Recession Proof shares (COMPQ-PF), 
$-Gold, Agriculturals,
Coal-Solar & Rare elements, Copper-Platinum & Non-Ferro's,
Inflation index, Bonds USA, Stock Market Indexes in Real Money (Gold), $-Gold ,

Would you still not believe it when it comes out of the mouth of the horse: Putin affirms Socialism, the welfare state doesn't work and kills society. Putin like many Russians know damn well what they are speaking off. Apparently, in other parts of the World, people still need to learn this.

Ayn Rand yellow jackets

The Yellow Jackets have no political leaders! - This is how revolutions are made...In Welfare state Europe, the standard of living has been going down for the last 30 years - especially in Italy and France - . Both French and Italians have their nose full of the "Welfare State". French and Italian Politicians find themselves in a straight jacket as they are unable to devaluate the local Euro (read Lira, French Franc) to bring some relief. Therefore is mathematically sure that this story will see a BITTER end soon (2 ½ years). The People are fed-up with the lousy politicians...and they are hungry. Politicians tell us to eat Cake because there is no bread and to eat Rabbit because the meat has become too expensive!? Riots we also have in SOUDAN where the tax on bread has again been raised...a deja vue!?

Important Fundamentals:

  • This is the only way for Politicians to stay in power. During Revolutions, Civil Wars, War...everybody with money and savings is GAME and during these times the Authorities traditionally take away the savings of those with money & savings to calm down the hungry lower classes. During the Russian Revolution REAL ESTATE and LAND was seized, taken away and redistributed to the lower classes...(exactly what happens today in South Africa)
  • Alea Iacta es...as EU-member states slide into depression, their people revolt (i.g. France) and the countries become insolvent because they cannot longer adjust their economy by devaluing their currency (all EU-members are locked into this EURO straight jacket), Germany will ALSO go bankrupt. This because the BILLIONS German have lend to the EU-member states can NEVER be repaid....The Petty Government Officials were so stupid that they in fact locked in the DEAD of the EU-zone in its Birth Certificate. You have to be a (Socialist) CIVIL SERVANT and/or POLITICIAN to be so damn stupid.
  • No doubt in our mind that we soon shall see a WINDFALL PROFIT TAX on Gold & Silver. Only those who are keeping their metals out of political reach will be safe...all others will be TAXED!

germany finances 2018 12 21Important Technicals:

  • Interest rates & Bonds are running into strong RESISTANCE levels! Technically speaking, it will need a LOT of ENERGY to push interest rates up their resistance levels and bonds down their support levels.
  • So as Agriculturals go, so goes Gold.
  • Wall Street is now technically in a full blown bear market...
  • Don't forget that what is happening between today and Jan 1st 2019 will MARK 2019!. This is the reason why this year end The Goldonomic Team doesn't go out fishing.

© -  All Rights Reserved - The contents of this report may NOT be copied, reproduced, or distributed without the explicit written consent of Goldonomic


Friday December 21, 2018 - Stock market crash expressed in Gold is happening NOW


Updated Sections: World Stock Market indexes (PF-charts), 

Screen Shot 2018 12 20 at 3.29.58 PMONLY GOLD IS MONEY. The Stock market crash expressed in Gold is starting NOW.   “Money is gold and nothing else”. Again this time, the only real money that will survive is gold. The Greek philosopher Aristotle who was Plato’s student defined what sound money must be:

  • Durable
  • Portable
  • Divisible
  • Intrinsically valuable

Only physical gold fulfills all these criteria and this is why gold is the only surviving currency in history. Physical gold is today confused with paper gold. The gold price is today determined by a false paper market which is likely to fail in the next few years. At that point we will know the real price of gold.

Important Fundamentals:

  • The World economy is sliding into more recession before our eyes and at the same time , purchasing power continues to fall. At the same time authorities pretend the recovery sits around the corner....same old lies.
  • Each time the Fed & Central Banks raise rates, the value of the government bonds that they had purchased is falling. This seems insane, right? By raising rates, the Fed is creating massive losses for itself. As the Fed & Central Banks continues raising interest rates, they will eventually engineer their insolvency. Only Central Bankers and Politicians are so stupid to do this!!
  • The Brussels elite is certainly doing a superb job in destroying Europe both economically and socially. They will clearly cause the fall of the Rome Empire. Not that Italy is much of an empire these days. But just like all empires collapse under its own debt, so will Italy.

Important Technicals:

  •  I told you so...and this top has been maturing for months...Stocks down and Gold & Silver up. Exactly as I told you would happen. There will not be much left for those who in 2018 have been wasting their time on Bitcoin, Crypto-Currencies, Bonds, Shares...instead of buying Gold & Silver.

we told you

    © -  All Rights Reserved - The contents of this report may NOT be copied, reproduced, or distributed without the explicit written consent of Goldonomic


Thursday December 20, 2018 - Fiat Currencies have a limited life Span! .


Updated Sections: Silver Targets, World Stock Market Indexes (USA - PF & short candles), 
Recession Proof shs (COMPQ-index) ,

Fiat Currencies have a limited life span.

lifetime currency 2018 12 14

Important Fundamentals:

  • Germany owns most of Europe. This time - unlike 1940-45 -  the Germans did not have to fire a single bullet!

germany finances 2018 12 14Important Technicals:

  • As US stock market indexes are (as we feared) breaking down the ABSOLUTE STOP LEVELS we are almost sure indexes will continue to slide down until the Bottom of their Trend Channel (see red arrow on PF-charts). For some indexes we also have a calculated bearish target.
  • Targets for $-Gold and $-Silver. [click to enlarge]
   
$-Gold price target $-Silver price target

    © -  All Rights Reserved - The contents of this report may NOT be copied, reproduced, or distributed without the explicit written consent of Goldonomic


Wednesday December 19, 2018 - Why does only Gold and Silver SHINE?!


Updated Sections: Corporate Bonds, Oil shares (index only),

 Why does only Gold and Silver (and miners) Shine?  Because we have a Secular BULL trend of Gold & Silver which is stronger than the performance of Stocks in General...

  Dow Gold ratio

Important Fundamentals:

  •  When adjusted for inflation, Gold is as cheap as chips. It is probably the cheapest investment vehicle one can buy today. [click to enlarge]
   
$-Gold price 1930 - 2018 $-Gold price adjusted for inflation 1930 - 2018
   
$-Silver 1930 - 2018 Precious Metal Reserves - note that when interest rates go up, Gold also does!!!

Important Technicals:

  • Ripley's believe it or not...but so far our ABSOLUTE STOP LEVELS (Dow, SP500) are HOLDING!!! Remember that these MUST be broken and successfully tested before we officially have a BEAR market.
  • Corporate bonds to loose 40% to 50% over the coming 4 years? (click to enlarge)

 

  • Gold & Silver miners remain a screaming BUY!

 

    © -  All Rights Reserved - The contents of this report may NOT be copied, reproduced, or distributed without the explicit written consent of Goldonomic


Tuesday December 18, 2018 - Europe and the EU are BANKRUPT and lower classes start to revolt.

Updated Sections: Bond Fundamentals I, Bond Fundamentals II, World Stock Market Indexes (PF-charts),

Europe, the EU is BANKRUPT and lower classes start to revolt. Don't expect the Authorities to correct the situation. One, they don't SEE it (according to these psycho's we even have a recovery) and Two they live in their Ivory Towers and are doing nothing more but counting VOTES. Three, they are privileged and whatever happens, they are the RATS which will leave the sinking Titanic before it's too late.  This all points towards Civil Unrest, Revolutions and War.

Debt is Treasuries (Bonds) and the outstanding amount of present and future debt can by no means be covered. In other words, the MONEY we have been using since 1971 is completely WORTHLESS. We just don't know what or who will be the little boy opening the eyes of the Herd. Who knows, maybe this little boy is wearing a Yellow Jacket. [a click on the picture below will take you to the figures as the EU-officials like to publish these.]

european debt clock

Important Fundamentals:

 France secret

Important Technicals:

  • Dow Jones and SP500 breaking down the Absolute Stop Levels !? = see our charts for BEARISH targets. At this time the situation is critical....we need little more to break very important support levels. Note that the Dow Jones Industrials, SP500 and Dow Transportation index have broken down a DOUBLE BOTTEM formation on the candle charts.  We have calculated the bearish targets for the Transportation Index and SP500 and these are located on THE BOTTOM of their respective trend channels.

 

  • Note that as Stock Markets come down, GOLD & SILVER go up!!!!
  • Royal Gold is a BUY at present level.

 

    © -  All Rights Reserved - The contents of this report may NOT be copied, reproduced, or distributed without the explicit written consent of Goldonomic


Monday December 17, 2018 - A Dangerous constellation for the US ( & International) Stock-Markets!?


Updated Sections: World Stock Market Indexes, Long Term Stock Market Indexes , 
Uranium & shares, Crude Oil price, Miners versus Gold & Silver,

 The Seven sisters or how to better understand the energy and Oil sector....and geopolitics.

Important Fundamentals:

  • Production discipline from top miners will break the trend of rising global uranium inventories following the 2011 Fukushima nuclear disaster and cause the first production deficit in more than a decade. Uranium has entered a period of structural under supply and we forecast the beginnings of inventory drawdown, which should continue to provide upward bias to the uranium price as we exit the year. Chinese nuclear plans are core to the uranium outlook, and Beijing will recommit to its longer term nuclear targets at the upcoming plenary session of the ruling communist party, where economic goals for the next five years are set.
  • China has 42 operating nuclear reactors, 16 reactors under construction and a further 43 planned. At the end of November, the country's national uranium corporation bought control of the Rossing uranium mine in Namibia. China is also behind the only sizeable uranium mine to come into production in the past few years, the Husab mine in Namibia, although ramp there has been slow.
  • Japan is steadily firing up its shuttered nuclear plants. Meanwhile when the world’s major producers find it more cost effective to buy in the spot market than produce the metal themselves then we know prices are depressed.

Important Technicals:

  • we have 2 strong buys in the Uranium section: Cameco (CCJ) and Rio Tinto (Rio).

   © -  All Rights Reserved - The contents of this report may NOT be copied, reproduced, or distributed without the explicit written consent of Goldonomic


Friday December 14, 2018 - There is no more real purchasing power!


Updated Sections: World Stock Market Indexes, Index in Real Money/Gold ,

paris pollution macronThere is no more real purchasing power left. Governments can cheat, cook inflation and Growth figures, bribe people by giving away money for free, beat and pepper spray their citizens, make public protests illegal and arrest people who disobey and lock these up....Whatever they do and may do, HISTORY learns that this NEVER works and that in the end it is the members of Government who are executed.  People are fed up with the professional politicians (actually psychopaths) who live in another world and don't give SHIT about the people.

If the people have no bread to eat, they should be given cake (Marie-Antoinette) . Authorities live on another planet and don't realize how bad things are on planet Earth. Because they are protected by the police forces and Army they think they are safe.  That is until Police forces and Privates change camps like happened at the beginning of the Russian and French revolutions.

When people are hungry and have nothing to loose, shit happens.  Politicians in England, France, Belgium, The Netherlands, Germany, Italy...are running around and not achieving anything it is because the world economy is an a mess that cannot be corrected easily. Before the system can return to normal, Stock markets will crash, Banks will go bankrupt, currencies will be debased and by 2025 we will probably know what HELL on Earth is like.  

Europe, the EU is falling apart and the Islam Immigration is a catalyst. Americans will get what they want: they don't want to see the EU-Europe challenge the USA and the Euro to take over the role of reserve currency. Even not partially. The European foundations start to crack under the weight of DEBT and Immigration is adding wood to the fire.  One sick Muslim shoots people in Strasbourg, France and the very next moment (AFTER the INCIDENT), police and army forces are patrolling the streets and closing down the borders (waiting time is 5 hours) hereby killing the Xmas income of all locals.

The odds are that by 2025, 95% of today's savers will have lost a SUBSTANTIAL PART of their assets.  Governments will warn nobody when they decide to legally seize a big chunk of your assets. Most people still don't see we are heading straight for a Hyper-Inflation and continue to trust their Government and Bank(s).  Many others still think they are safe because they put the largest part of their assets into Real Estate. Few realize that DIGITAL SECURITIES can be seized in with just a click on ENTER. Last but not least, MANY (incl. The Herd) doesn't see no URGENCY. There is a dangerous complacency and a conviction that TOMORROW there will still be time to bring their savings into safety. NOT SO!

  • Global PAPER trading on the LBMA of Gold is 16 times the yearly mining of physical Gold.
  • The annual trading volume on the LBMA of paper Gold is 70 times ALL the Gold in the world.
  • Only 1/2 % of the world savings are invested in Gold. Can you imagine what will happen if only another 1/2% decides to invest in Gold?

Important Fundamentals:

  • No, The U.S. Is Not A Net Exporter Of Crude Oil ! and is actually still importing oil.
  • Don't you think that the EURO will weaken when countries like Greece, Italy, Spain LEAVE the single currency.!!! The Euro may weaken momentarily and so offer an excellent step in level.

Important Technicals:

  • The BEDOW (Belgian Stock Market) took a SERIOUS HIT (also when expressed in Gold) and charts tell us, it ain't over yet! And don't expect the FAT LADY to sign tomorrow...
  • If these bottoms break, expect much lower.
   

   © -  All Rights Reserved - The contents of this report may NOT be copied, reproduced, or distributed without the explicit written consent of Goldonomic


Thursday, December 13, 2018 - Is a new Global War Coming?


Updated Sections: Investment Pyramid, 

Is a new Global War coming?...and did you know that your smartphone is the result of Military Research and that in fact by using one, you are holding WAR in your very hand?  Steve Jobs did nothing more but MARKETEER inventions of the Military.

Gold is of course one of the best instruments to preserve your savings in time of War. Existing money becomes worthless as new money is issued by the invader. Real Estate (houses) are bombed, Stock Markets are closed,....Not one Millennium knows that right before and during WWII many (Jews) bought their FREEDOM and LIVE from Germans by bribing them with Gold coins. They won't even believe it when yo tell them the truth...For this last generations, WAR is nothing but a story told in History books...dangerous that is!

Note: there is an ongoing immigration of Belgian and Dutch people to Hungry. These people don't seem to know that each time there was a conflict, the Hungarians were on the WRONG SIDE of History.  Each time there was a conflict, only the Hungarians who emigrated, survived. As a matter of fact I personally know several of them...they landed in Canada and the USA.

Important Fundamentals:

  • Last month, we told you about Justin Trudeau's secret plan to seize the banking information of thousands of Canadians. Today we have been advised that Statistics Canada is also performing a "soft inquiry" into credit card records. We have come to a point where CAN NO LONGER TRUST CANADIANS.
  • Withholding Tax is a dangerous animal and often eats away the best part of Dividends!

 

Important Technicals:

DATE:  Dec 12, 2018 Long Term Trend  
 $-Gold  Breaking out of a halfway-medium term saucer bottom trend is bullish hold-buy
 Silver  Breaking out of a halfway-medium term formation & sideward accumulation trend is bullish hold-buy
 US-Dollar  Long term trend vs. Euro is still bearish - sideward and overbought trend is bearish* ??
 Euro-Dollar  Sideward triangle in formation trend is bearish* ??
 Euro-Gold
 Broken out of bullish halfway wedge trend is bullish hold-buy
Aussie-Gold
 About to break an all time record. trend is bullish   hold-buy
Swiss-Gold
OVERSOLD trend is bullish   hold-buy

   © -  All Rights Reserved - The contents of this report may NOT be copied, reproduced, or distributed without the explicit written consent of Goldonomic


Wednesday, December 12, 2018 - Back to the roaring 20s and 30s and Internet to bring as profound changes as the invention of the Printing Press did!?


Updated Sections: Recession Proof shares, Recession Proof shares-Hold , Bank & Financials,  

globalism 2018Back to the roaring 20s and 1930s: The actual crisis can be compared to that which happened in the 1930s after the Wall Street crash. During the 1930s interest rates were also cut and new money was also injected into the financial system through quantitative easing in order to stimulate the economy.

During the 1930s, monetary policies also led to a recovery in asset prices and in both eras, the social and political effects of those policies were similar in that they exacerbated inequalities of wealth. QE offered a punch bowl to the stock market, which was great if you owned stocks but not so great if you didn't. In stark contrast, the middle and lower classes suffered from the effects of worsening austerity.

The political consequences have also been markedly similar. Both eras saw the rise of ‘populism’ and other types of so-called extremist politics as a reaction to the social injustices that are perceived to have been caused by crises. This raises the specter of even worse political extremism on the horizon, possibly even war. The current period is actually equivalent to the 1935-45 period which encompassed the second world war.

Also important is that the invention of Internet and the Social Media will bring even bigger changes to society than the invention of Printing Press in the 15th century did. The people start to realize that ELECTIONS are nothing but a joke and that they are taken by the nose and deeply indebted by Psychopaths, by Clowns, by dangerous people who only serve themselves.

This time we will not only see the end of Kings and Queens but also the end of Globalism, and of the Modern Political systems with professional Politicians which were created to replace Absolutism. We just don't know whether the modern Louis XVIs will be decapitated or executed in some other way...

Important Fundamentals:

  • France plans to tax tech giants [Google, Amazon, Apple and Facebook] in 2019 . Plans for EU-wide digital services tax to prevent tax evasion were struck down this week as the proposal didn’t receive unanimous support from all 28 member states. This happened despite Germany and France‘s attempt to reach a consensus by proposing a bill full of concessions, which would specifically target Google, Amazon, Apple and Facebook. Germany and France suggested a 3% levy on advertising sales. The proposal is a compromise on a larger digital tax plan that would have hit some of the world's largest tech companies and would open the door for more taxation in the future. [France wants 3% of “the digital co's turnover]

Important Technicals:

  • What is happening in the bank sector and with Bank shares is frightening. Especially because the rising LIBOR is confirming there is again something bad happening in the sector.  European banks are in an extremely bad shape. The situation is so bad that even Deutsche bank and Commerzbank have to merge.
  • Canadian banks also are in a bad shape. So far the Canadian CARTELS were however able to keep the smoke curtain alive and the Canadian banks shares high. [The Canadian system is one BIG POWERFUL Cartel with 5 members only]
  • All shares of U.S. bank shares are falling in Stop loss and are hereby in a process of breaking their uptrend.
  • Past Monday market activity was impressive. We had a KEY-REVERSAL-DAY visible on the bar charts and on the candle-charts as a HAMMER. They indicate we have an important near-term-low.
   

  © -  All Rights Reserved - The contents of this report may NOT be copied, reproduced, or distributed without the explicit written consent of Goldonomic


Tuesday, December 11, 2018 - The US-Dollar and the Euro are set to implode. Which one will go first and how can you protect yourself!


Updated Sections: Royalties, Majors, Juniors, Bio-Tech, Oil shares, Natural Gas & Shares ,  

Chinese are notorious gamblers...A Fifth of China's Housing Is Empty. That's 50 Million Homes. “There’s no other single country with such a high vacancy rate. Should any crack emerge in the property market, the homes to be offloaded will hit China like a Tsunami.

China does not have a property tax so the cost of speculating on property is almost zero. The vast majority of residential units are delivered as empty shells because developers know consumers will want to fit out the apartment to their own specifications. However, that also means there are large numbers of apartment buildings that are vacant and are left to rot because investors are holding them for appreciation purposes rather than ever intending for anyone to live in them.

What Chinese investors don't seem to grasp is that Demography is against them and their dwellings will 'never' be rented out. In China it was actually Government who kikked demography by limiting the number of children a Chinese family could have to only ONE. The restriction is no more, but this comes way too late. Governments always comes too late with too little.

Note: in Spain and England, in order to ensure the real estate sector (and banks) doesn't collapse, Banks sell mortgages with a maturity of up to 40 and 60 years.  In other countries like Belgium it is possible to lend up to 125% of the estimated value of the property. This only postpones the crash and ensures that it will be deeper the day it comes.

Important Fundamentals:

  • This really is an opportunity for investors searching YIELD... Oil shares actually pay out better yields ( up to 21%) than Treasuries. Buy your dividend stocks on the London Stock Exchange to avoid dividend taxation.
  • Deutsche bank and Commerzbank MERGE  in order to avoid a bankruptcy of both Deutsche and Commerzbank.  Politicians think that by merging 2 bankrupt banks, the end result will be a sound bank!?

Important Technicals:

   
   
   
Oil shares are a SCREAMING buy Miners are a SCREAMING buy
  • Most Oil shares are oversold and eased back upon important support zone. See PF charts in the section.
  • Natural gas has hit our target of $4.50
  • Miners (Majors & Juniors) can be bought at present levels. See sections for Majors and Juniors. Mind the updated yields and [*] figure - the lower the better!
  • Collapsing Financials Lead Stock Markets Lower,..see sections for TOP FORMATIONS and BREAKDOWNS. (stock market indexes, recession proof shares,..)

  © -  All Rights Reserved - The contents of this report may NOT be copied, reproduced, or distributed without the explicit written consent of Goldonomic


Monday, December 10, 2018 - It's too little, it's too late and the people are hungry...and The Psychopaths (Politicians) don't care. They NEVER care!


Updated Sections: ZAR-Gold & R/$/€, Kr-Gold & Kr/$/€, Yuan-Gold & Yuan/$/, Rupee-Gold, 
Royalties, Majors ,

yellow jackets parisWill 90,000 French COPS and "Pantzers" be able to control the march of the Yellow Jackets in Paris and ensure they don't take THE BASTILLE...or will they only make it worse?  As expected, the CLOWNS don't understand what is happening and make it worse than it already is. It's too late, too little. The Credit Cards have been maxed out and the people are hungry....The Immigration only adds OIL to the fire. 

French people start to see through the Political Games & GREEN FAIRY TALES of the Globalists & Authorities. The "Taxation (direct and indirect legal theft) is too high, immorally high and pushes more and more people into poverty. Authorities have indebted their country (citizens) to a maximum and now desperately seek more income. Very hard to find as the recession deepens, as government income declines and government expenditures rise.

It now is a matter of time before the Central Banks will start to create even more money out of thin air....and we slide into a Hyper-inflationary Depression. 

People keep waiting for things to become better instead of reacting to a situation that, as the evidence and history seems to suggest, can only worsen, regardless of which party comes to power. The sad truth is that Europeans have yet to come to the realization that they are soon going to become a minority on their own soil. Precisely therein lies the danger. Europeans don't realize this is to become their PROBLEM today, rather than tomorrow....

The question thus arises as to what will happen in Europe after the mood has flipped and millions of refugees, who refuse to assimilate into their societies of residence, are being told that they are no longer “welcome”. As we all know, voting would be prohibited if it made any difference, however, in modern Europe of 2018, it may be assumed that the intention is to bring populist movements to power. This will ultimately lead to confrontation and civil wars, as radical Muslims, once they see themselves faced with hostility, will begin to resort to real terrorism, attacking so-called soft targets, such as kindergartens and schools. It will probably be another year before this happens. Meanwhile, the stance of Europeans continues to degenerate on a daily basis, as they are only shrinking as the number of immigrants keeps on growing. This development, which began decades ago, only to be accelerated in 2015, can no longer be reversed – not even the so-called populist parties! 

Though refugees have little direct relation with the actual problem of the systemic crisis, their presence is now beginning to make its way to the forefront in Europe, as the frequency and degree of the violent crimes they commit is disproportionately high. For that reason, it is possible that the mood of the population in regard to unrestricted immigration may flip as early as 2018.

Those who decide to start working on a plan B today, run the risk to be late....Intelligent people are all set. Stupid people will end like Venezuelans....without Toilet paper to wipe their A.

  1. Stop listening to the LIES and false promises of the Authorities NOW (the day you leave, they loose your vote and your savings and there is nothing left they can tax)
  2. The time to get a Permanent Residence for you and your loved ones in a SAFE country is NOW!
  3. The time to move your savings into REAL Money is NOW! Soon it won't matter whether the Dow Jones goes up by ONE THOUSAND of comes down by ONE THOUSAND....because your portfolio will be frozen in the hands of the Bankers and Authorities. (like happened in Argentina some years ago)
  4. The time to move your Real Money out of Political reach is NOW. Authorities can freeze your savings at any time in a nanosecond by pressing ENTER on a computer.
  5. It does take time to have it all ready. Contact us and start working on it now. Note we have a 100% success rate. Send an email to Cette adresse e-mail est protégée contre les robots spammeurs. Vous devez activer le JavaScript pour la visualiser.

 Note:  by converting your savings into Real Money or Gold & Silver you make it extremely hard to the Authorities to TAX and/or seize your savings. Especially so when you store these out of POLITICAL REACH.

Important Fundamentals:

  • Credit Card debt is as high as in 2008. Auto loans are a lot higher and US-Real Estate is topping out like happened in 2007-2008. We are heading full steam for the Big Depression of the 21st Century.
   
   
  • The yield curve inversion means the economy is poised to weaken. We have a Yield invesion (short term interest rates are higher than long term rates). The yield on the two-year Treasury surpassed that of the similar five-year instrument on Tuesday, creating a minor panic in investors. As the economy weakens, the DEBT situation will become even worse than it already is... [under normal conditions, 30 year treasuries yield more than 10 year treasuries and more than 2 year treasuries]
  • Across Europe, and particularly in the 18-member Eurozone, the economic news is sobering. It’s now clear that the credit crunch in emerging markets which has played out over most of this year, plus the slowdown in China, are having negative consequences in Europe. 
  • The French government now consumes 46.2% of GDP, making it the most-taxed OECD nation. Even a slight tax increase affects the working class disproportionately. [Belgium taxes away 44.6% of the GDP]

 

Important Technicals:

  • Financial Markets (Stock and Bonds) are being propped up by the Central Banks trying to stop any further slide. The section for World Stock Markets leaves however no doubt about the reality and about a worldwide slump. Those who don't get in time out of these dangerous fake markets will pay a price for it the day the bubble bursts again. The market manipulation was clearly visible when last week the Dow Jones geysered back up and made a loss of 800 points good in a single day trading session.
  • Are the Point & Figures charts for the Dow Jones, SP500,...completing dangerous TOP FORMATIONS or not? (like the BELGIAN DOW did this past Summer)
  • The Gold & Silver sector is doing what it is supposed to do. Still timid but we will see better when the New Year starts. And even the FIAT PAPER PRICE doesn't go up one MUST still continue to ACCUMULATE and HOLD fysical Gold & Silver.

  © -  All Rights Reserved - The contents of this report may NOT be copied, reproduced, or distributed without the explicit written consent of Goldonomic


Friday December 7, 2018 - not much we can add as the markets perform exactly as we forecasted they would!


HuaweiUpdated Sections: Aussie-Gold & Aussie/$/€, Swiss-Gold & FS/$/€, Can$-Gold & Can$/$/€, ¥-Gold & ¥/$/€, £-Gold & £/$/€  ,

Canada arrests top HUAWEI executive on suspicion of violating Iran sanctions. The arrest of the HUAWEI top-woman is nothing more than part of the 21st Century BIG WAR. This kind of events is not new and is killing international trade even more and could well be a prelude to the BIG World War of the 21st Century. Extremely worrying is that the arrest happened in a foreign country (Canada) . Huawei is a big competitor of APPLE and SAMSUNG...and produces better smart phones at a lower price. The arrest has to been seen as part of the Trade War between the USA and China and may well end in more War. It hints to the seriousness of the economic problems Chinese and Americans have today.

This is not only about making the best investment also about sitting in the best position at the end of the game.  It's not about PERCEPTION (fiat currency) as many think, it's about REAL VALUE or money without a counter party risk.

  • Those who bought Stocks at the beginning of 2018, end the year with as much as they started with.
  • Those who bought Bitcoin at the beginning of 2018, may have seen big profits but in the end, they lost big.
  • Those who bought Gold & Silver at the beginning of 2018, will end the year with a small profit...and may end 2019 with a BIG profit.
  • Those who bought Gold & Silver miners will probably end 2019 with an even bigger profit.

In our section of World Stock Market Indexes we CLEARLY indicate which Stock Markets can be bought and which ones have to be sold.  Investors who are stubborn and keep positions in RED LABELLED Stock Markets take a huge risk. [Note that some Stock Markets are bullish but still have to be avoided because of the currency risk.]. ..more in the subscriber's sections

Gold is for the "I don’t knows". And right now, there are a LOT of I don’t knows.

Important Fundamentals:

  • The consequences will be unlimited money printing leading to the final destruction of paper money since the creation of the Fed in 1913. Remember that all major currencies are already down 97-99% against gold in the last 100 years. The remaining fall of 1-3% will take place within the next 10 years and probably within the next 5-7 years. But what is important to understand is that 1-3% measured from 1913 is 100% from today which means that currencies will go to ZERO.
  • I consider the stock and bond markets to be "fake" because there is no willing buyer and a willing seller determining a fair price for the risk being taken,  but instead massive money creation by the world's central banks. This causes massive price distortions which have been propping up asset prices- mainly of bonds, real estate and stocks.
  • Taxes on Dutch Real Estate will again become higher.
  • France and Germany want the EU to levy a 3% Sales Tax on the EU turnover of companies like Google, Amazon, Apple and Facebook.

Important Technicals:

  • Gold expressed in Swiss is breaking both the 50 day MA and 200 day MA = very bullish!
  • Gold expressed in Canadian Dollar and expressed in Japanese Yen is Breaking up the 200 day Moving Average = very Bullish! - our calculated target at this time is can$ 2,830,-
  • Gold expressed in Sterling is Breaking up the 200 day Moving Average.

  © -  All Rights Reserved - The contents of this report may NOT be copied, reproduced, or distributed without the explicit written consent of Goldonomic


Thursday December 6, 2018  - no nation can "TAX" itself "rich" and it is impossible to "borrow" a country into "Prosperity" and the only way to clear DEBT is to do it with Gold


 Updated Sections: , 
It is impossible to TAX a nation into WEALTH and/or BORROW a notion into PROSPERITY.  Most Politicians (Clowns) don't have no clue about this, live in an Ivory Tower and breath for POWER and VOTES only. 

The latest from John Williams’ www.shadowstats.com warns us for more recession and tells us Propsperity doesn't sit around the corner!

– Federal Reserve Begins to Waffle on Interest Rates and Tightening? Watch the Dollar and Gold!
– Broad Systemic Liquidity and Real Earnings Growth Have Been Impaired by Federal Reserve Tightening
– Constrained Consumer Liquidity Has Taken an Increasing Toll on Economic Activity; GDP Final Sales Revised Lower
– Motor Vehicle Sales Are in a Downward Spiral
– Real Retail Sales, New Orders, Manufacturing, Residential Construction and Home Sales All Have Weakened
– Deteriorating Construction-Activity and Residential-Sales Never Have Recovered Pre-Recession Peak Levels
– With No End in Sight, October 2018 U.S. Manufacturing Remained Shy by 4.3% (-4.3%) of Recovering Its December 2007 Pre-Recession Peak
– The 130 Straight Months of Economic Non-Expansion in Manufacturing Is Unlike Anything Ever Seen in the 100-Year History of the Series
– Slowdown in Consumer-Driven Activity Looks Like the Onset of a New Recession

This is how Gold is purified:

Important Fundamentals:

  • Governments and Central Banks have through their irresponsible actions of money printing and credit expansion created the perfect backdrop for an accelerating currency debasement in the next 5-7 years which will continue to make gold more valuable when expressed in fiat money.
  • Debt has grown exponentially since Nixon’s fatal decision to end the gold backing of the dollar and the currency system in 1971. The chart below shows how debt is now reaching intolerable levels. Just in this century, debt has trebled from $80 trillion to $250 trillion today. Since 2006 when the financial crisis started, debt has doubled.
  • The International Monetary Fund (IMF) has deemed Deutsche Bank as the most systemically dangerous bank in the world. It’s actually the largest criminal enterprise in Germany.
  • Both Western and Eastern central banks are now fully supporting gold. Precious metals investors can with total confidence buy and hold physical gold, silver and platinum in the firm knowledge that central banks both in the West and the East will by their actions guarantee that the price can only go up.

This video is for subscribers only, to the point and interesting.: QE4 is near, only Gold is money, all the rest is Credit.  The politicians, bureaucrats and bankers who depend on artificially-elevated financial asset prices start to panic.

Important Technicals:

  • We told you to get rid of Bank stocks months ago. Bank stocks fall the most since June 2016, enter bear market. Shares of SunTrust, Citizens Financial Group all fell more than 5 % Tuesday as the yield on the benchmark 30-year Treasury bond dropped 11 basis points and the yield on the 10-year Treasury note fell 8 basis points.
  • SP500 falls below 200 day Moving Average! See our PF and Bar charts for BEARISH TARGET. Be advised the downleg is still alive and well and we shall need some type of bottom formation before the Stock Markets resumes their uptrend.
  • Contrary to the classic scenario and as we outlined in the past weeks and months, this time the GOLD & Silver sector doesn't follow in the wake of the Stock Markets and is actually rising when common stocks are sliding. Be advised that the day QE4 is alive, the uptrend of the Gold & Silver sector will become a lot steeper.

  © -  All Rights Reserved - The contents of this report may NOT be copied, reproduced, or distributed without the explicit written consent of Goldonomic


Wednesday December 5, 2018 - The Cryto-winter has arrived!


Updated Sections: US-Dollar, €-Gold & €/$,[For the Dutch site: Majors-Fundamentals, Mme la Marquise ], ,

 Governments sit between a rock and a hard plate: it's either print money or risk a CIVIL WAR (or both). Once debt reaches SUICIDE LEVELS, there is no way back! Figures are for 2015. [Recent figures are hard to find but WORSE!]

global debt to GDP 2018 12 03

Government debt figures for 2015-17: Total credit to the government sector, % of GDP in the chart above.

general government debt 2018 12 03

Important Fundamentals:

  • The Crypto Winter has arrived. Although Crypto-currencies and blockchains are extremely important, their intrinsic VALUE is ZERO.
  • Soon or later the Herd will also realize ELECTRIC cars, bicycles,...are also a HOAX as it takes DIRTY FUEL to generate the electricity.

Important Technicals:

  • The US-Dollar has been one of the best performing medium term investments during 2018. Things for 2019 however look very different. The dollar is bouncing down a VERY STRONG RESISTANCE ZONE. (see Dollar-section)
  • Short term target for €-Gold is €1.120 (see short candle)'
  • As far as the mining stocks are concerned, there is tremendous fear accompanied by end of year tax loss selling, which has created remarkable opportunities to buy high-quality names at extremely discounted prices.  This is a setup for extraordinary gains in the mining sector when the turnaround gets underway and the price of gold spikes higher.  Fear will then turn into greed and the current discounted prices and bearish sentiment will be a distant memory.  The smart money is taking advantage of the carnage in the sector by buying assets on the cheap.
  • Subscribers were advised this past summer that they had to get out of the Belgian stocks...

 © -  All Rights Reserved - The contents of this report may NOT be copied, reproduced, or distributed without the explicit written consent of Goldonomic


Tuesday December 4, 2018 - Trump makes peace with China and Oil goes up again...and are Interest Rates in Sudden, Full Reverse!? .


Updated Sections: Physical vs Paper Gold, Gold Funda., Buy Gold, Silver, Silver Fundamentals, Silver Targets, Buy Silver, [For the Dutch site: Majors-Fundamentals, Mme la Marquise ],

Screen Shot 2018 12 03 at 2.40.00 PMWhen this happens with a regime of low and negative interest rates, it is not hard to imagine what will happen with higher interest rates. A MASSIVE DEPRESSION it will be!

  • Switzerland and Sweden, two bastions of the negative interest rate experiment saw both economies contract in Q3 . The Swiss economy fell 0.2% vs the estimate of up 0.4%. The State Secretariat for Economic Affairs said “The strong, continuous growth phase enjoyed by the Swiss economy for one and a half years was suddenly interrupted. Switzerland is thus following the significant downturn seen at the same time in other European countries, particularly Germany.” 
  • The Swedish economy also shrunk by 0.2% vs the forecast of growth of 0.2%. This as the Riksbank is about to hike rates and begin the process to get out from underneath NIRP. If we include the ECB, all of Europe is going into this economic slowdown with negative interest rates.

Expect a total CATASTROPHE of the CURRENCY system.  This is what we the world will experience in coming years. Nobody must believe that it is different today and that central banks won’t let it happen. On the contrary, it is central banks that have created this situation and will guarantee that it will happen. This is nothing new in history, all “paper money eventually returns to its intrinsic value of ZERO” as Voltaire said in 1729.

As von Mises said in 1949:

“There is no means of avoiding the final collapse of a boom brought about by credit expansion. The alternative is only whether the crisis should come sooner as the result of voluntary abandonment of further credit expansion, or later as a final and total catastrophe of the currency system involved.”

Important Fundamentals:

  • Xi and Trump find an agreement and as expected Crude Oil soars by +6% (see our update on Crude Oil last week) and Gold & Silver rise.
  • With manipulated interest rates from negative to just a few percentage points in most countries, the interest burden is already more than most nations can afford. The 35 year interest cycle turned up in 2015 and we are now likely to reach at least the 15-16% as in the late 1970s and early 1980s.

Important Technicals:

  • Mind the potential BEAR TRAP for Silver expressed in Euro & Swiss franc.

© -  All Rights Reserved - The contents of this report may NOT be copied, reproduced, or distributed without the explicit written consent of Goldonomic


Monday December 3, 2018 - The Western World is on the cusp of a civil war or revolution .


Updated Sections: $-Gold, For the Dutch site: Majors-Fundamentals, Mme la Marquise ,

We are on the cusp of a civil war.

After Paris, France  the Yellow Jacket protest hits Brussels, Belgium . Dutch sources say the yellow vests were protesting in several cities in the Netherlands as well. Dutch police weren’t very cooperative and sometimes ordered people to remove their yellow vests. They also made some arrests. Around one thousand people showed up in Berlin as well. A lot of people showed solidarity with the anti-Macron movement and were wearing yellow vests.

Important Fundamentals:

  •  If one listens to Idiots, believes the lies of Idiots and acts like an Idiot, one ends like an Idiot: with no electric power! South Africa will have to ration "Electricity" because the Politicians didn't plan for new Coal Mines (the country can no longer afford to import Coal).  We have seen this in Zimbabwe and Mozambique and will soon experience it in European Countries.  Politicians call it renewable energy, green energy, progress...These guys really have a weird idea about what progress really looks like. Note that we already had electricity black-outs in Hannover, Germany.

Important Technicals:

  • Technically speaking, $-Gold is ready for a new BULL run which will at least last until Q1 of 2019.
  • Both Western and Eastern central banks are now fully supporting gold. Precious metals investors can with total confidence buy and hold physical gold, silver and platinum in the firm knowledge that central banks both in the West and the East will by their actions guarantee that the price can only go up.

© -  All Rights Reserved - The contents of this report may NOT be copied, reproduced, or distributed without the explicit written consent of Goldonomic

Categories: Nouvelles

Le Cron démarre