16
mars
2021

Mars 2021

Once assets climb too far from the plow of real valuation, the end is not only brutal, but inevitable.

[Most Recent Quotes from www.kitco.com] [Most Recent Quotes from www.kitco.com] [Most Recent Quotes from www.kitco.com]
fysique: ajouter jusqu'a
$200 par oz.
  fysique: ajouter jusqu'a
$11 par oz.
  

Wednesday/Thursday, March 17-18, 2021 - financial markets are one big CASINO & a Plan B is your ticket to freedom.


Updated Sections: Recession Proof Shs, Recession Proof - hold, Bio Tech-Pharma

Plan BA Plan B is your ticket to freedom. Something you can pull out and implement when things really start to get weird. Something that you always know you can rely on when the world is falling into chaos. Everyone should have a Plan B…It’s no longer a nice-to-have, but rather a necessity in today’s day and age. A Plan B is like taking an insurance policy out on your freedom…And what is more important than your freedom?

"A Plan B is like taking an insurance policy out on your freedom…and costs less than a car"

A Plan B allows you to:

  • Obtain a second residency & passport… so you always have a place to call home...so you can always leave the country you are living in.
  • Build a fortress around your assets…and safely move assets out of political reach.
  • Legally reduce your tax burden through specific systems and strategies.
  • And SO MUCH MORE...

"Contrary to popular belief… Plan B is not just for the rich. Today it has become affordable to all."

[The information we share is applicable to freedom-seeking individuals, just like you…]


A second permanent residence and COVID-19 restrictions.

Anybody with a permanent second residence has been able to travel at all times. To and from almost any country. National restrictions did not apply. Any European national was and is - at any time - able to leave any country he/she was staying in AND could/can legally cross all national borders. Worst case scenario, traveling happened on Humanitarian flights organized by Governments.

Need to travel to Austria, Switzerland, Spain, Panama,..? Belgian citizens with a permanent Panama residency/passport could/can at all times cross the Belgian borders and board airplanes at any national airport. When worst came to worst, these 2nd resident holders could and can even use “Humanitarian Flights”.

A plan B or a Second Permanent residency is a lot cheaper than you think and has A LOT of advantages. Some advantages are evident. Important however is that with a second permanent residency in Panama your local, national government can no longer lock you up. You are FREE to go as you please.

Remember that just before WW2 started, only those who had an American visa were able to leave Europe and travel to the safety of the USA. Including all Belgian and Dutch citizens who were still living the dream that these neutral countries would never be invaded by the Germans. You can compare it with those who today still think that when it gets worse (and it will), Switzerland (and Liechtenstein) will be safe heavens. Stop DREAMING!


"WHEN, not IF, inflation returns and investors finally end their bad love affair with bonds, then bond prices will fall, which means bond yields will rise—which means interest rates will rise too."

silver instead of bondsBonds are contracts to lose the bulk of your savings. Adjusted for inflation, U.S., EU, British, Japanese, a.o. Treasuries produce negative returns. Investors have fallen foolishly in love with bonds and negative-yielding returns despite obvious signs of deception and toxic love. COVID conditions and market risk have sent more investors into the “safe arms” of bonds like a (false) traditional place to “store wealth. But with the Fed buying bonds as well as repressing rates, the net result is that investors are literally paying to lose rather than store their wealth.

Many investors, like star-crossed lovers and pensioners, still feel the need to hold on to illusions, nostalgia, and unfaithful bond markets despite all the danger signs lurking beneath debt-soaked balance sheets. In the end, however, it takes a kind of personal courage to shed illusions and embrace cold math. But we are all, as Nietzsche warned, human, all too human. We love our illusions. We stay too long in toxic relationships. As such, we are prone to prefer fantasy over reality.

"Like hopeless romantics chasing shallow and vapid loves, many investors are chasing empty promises (and yields) from an equally empty bond market."

The Great Financial Crisis in 2006-9 was never solved, the can was just kicked down the road. But this time the can is too big. It is totally absurd to swallow that such a system can even survive. The central banks create toxic money out of thin air. By definition, money that has been fabricated without real labor or production of goods or services must have ZERO value. With this Fiat money, the central banks purchase “poisoned” assets in the form of debt that cannot and will not ever be repaid. These debts are issued by bankrupt governments and other insolvent debtors who can only repay their debts by issuing more debt.

"Debt bubbles can only end in one way. With imploding debt and crashing asset markets."

Debt bubbles can only end in one way. With imploding debt and crashing asset markets. But before that, there will be a final overdose of poison in the form of massive money printing. This is a last and desperate attempt to solve a debt problem with even more debt. No forecast can ever be certain until afterward. But at that time it will be too late to protect yourself. What we know today is that risk is at a maximum. We also know that protecting against this uber-risk is not just wise but absolutely critical. History tells us that in every major economic crisis, physical gold and silver have been the ultimate protection.

"No “orderly reset” can and will stem the breakdown of a disorderly (and distorted) system."

Note: See Bond sections for the PF-charts of American, German, English Bonds.


Important Fundamentals:

  • Banks are in a DEPLORABLE and extremely dangerous state...more in later updates.
  • Agricultural prices keep rising, despite a strong U.S. dollar, thereby adding to the already high inflation figures.
  • Despite a strong U.S. dollar, there is an unmistakably bullish sentiment in oil markets as demand comes back online and inflation figures start to rise.
  • U.S. LNG exports increased in 2020 to an average of 6.5 bcf/d, up 31% from the year before.
  • Once Real Estate prices in a country (Belgium, The Netherlands) get that crazy like they have become in these countries today, one knows that we have a BUY CLIMAX and that the 'end is near.  This "overpriced" 1st property (located near Ghent, Belgium) sells for € 700.000 or $ 840,000.  The 2nd "also overpriced" property in Tesoro Estates (upmarket), Florida- U.S.A. sells for $700,000. See our Real Estate sections for more.
700k tesoro

Important Technicals:

  • When Gold Turns, The Move Up Will Be Dramatic!
  • When Silver Turns, The Move Up Will Be Dramatic!
  • This really has become a 1929-style stock market. See chart below & full-size charts in the sections for World Stock Markets.

© - Tous droits réservés - Le contenu de ce rapport ne peut être copié, reproduit ou distribué sans le consentement écrit explicite de Goldonomic.


Monday/Tuesday, March 15-16, 2012 - when interest rates go up, the system collapses - when lower, the system also collapses.


Updated Sections: Bonds general & USA, 

Once the COVID-19 is conquered, We're not coming out of the darkest period in history, we're just entering it. The problem wasn't the disease but the government's cure, which will be fatal for the dollar, the euro, most currencies, and the economy. There's no vaccine to protect us from a (hyper)inflationary depression. 

If interest rates continue to go up, we shall see massive failures and deflation and only physical gold and silver will save you.

If interest rates come down, it will be because of more fiat currency and we shall have hyperinflation and only physical gold & silver will save you.

This is how important physical silver has become in Venezuela!  Maybe you cannot eat Silver & Gold (like IDIOTS pretend), but it will always buy you food, shelter and pay for the utilities.  Few realize that 14 x 1 oz. Silver covers a year-long all expenses for somebody living in Caracas, Venezuela. These are ACTUAL figures!

Silvers value feb 2021


How do interest rates work?

interest rateThe interest rate is the price for money. As a rule, assuming there is a fixed amount of money in circulation, interest rates go up when there is more demand for money and come down when there is less demand. This automatically regulates the economy. High-interest rates call for more savings so more capital will be accumulated to buy better capital goods (machinery to manufacture goods cheaper).

Today, because currencies (what they still dare to call money) are no longer guaranteed by a fixed quantity of Gold, the previous no longer applies. Because Governments and The People are over-indebted, and because there is no limit on the quantity of currency in circulation, we have come to a point where the system cannot survive high-interest rates. Such has become impossible because the total income of the government (taxation) is insufficient to cover the payment of interest on the total outstanding debt.

In order to keep paying the interest on the existing-historic debt and keep interest rates LOW (and below the marginal interest rate level), Central banks are forced to create more fiat money out of thin air so they can buy the new (debt) Treasuries and so bring down interest rates. However, by creating more fiat money out of thin air, the value of this fake currency comes down (growing supply and less demand). So does the marginal impact on the interest rate level of the additional created amount of fiat currency.

By creating even more money (currency) to buy even more treasuries and pushing interest rates even lower, the very value of the currency disappears...and more and more entities start to sell the currency because they start to mistrust it. The result of more currency creation is temporary lower interest rates, but at the same time also a cheaper currency...

A weaker currency makes imports more expensive and results in a higher trade deficit (made in china) and, more inflation. More inflation is pushing interest rates up forcing Central Banks to create even more fiat currency in order to keep interest rates low....this is a never-ending story...in the end, the marginal impact of the freshly created fiat currency is not only zero but even negative...it is THE END and Hyperinflation.

note:

  1. This is a mathematical equation and there is NO way around it. We are 100% sure the end of this story will be a severe crisis. We only don't know WHEN. Although, because we know we have entered the exponential part of the equation, we know that it won't take years to unfold.
  2. The problem we have is that – because we have an exponential - it is very hard to predict when the bubble will burst. Therefore one must prepare now. Better 2 years early than 1 second late.

Important Fundamentals:

  • The BIS trades significant amounts of gold swaps on a regular basis. This will continue to be
  • Bitcoin has gone from aspiring to be a currency (failed) to now supposedly be a store of value. Reality check: Bitcoin has no intrinsic value, so it can't be a store of value. It is also illiquid, volatile, and has no sufficient history of keeping its purchasing power.
  • This is how the Military-industrial-complex controls the USA (and the World). With Biden & the Democrats back in the White House, they are again 100% in control.

Important Technicals:

  • Very hard to write a correct technical scenario. If interest rates go up and break the "marginal interest rate level" we're in for problems, if they come down, we're also in for problems.
  • At this time, the level of US-interest rates is also a factor determining
  • See larger Candle Charts in the Bond section.

© - Tous droits réservés - Le contenu de ce rapport ne peut être copié, reproduit ou distribué sans le consentement écrit explicite de Goldonomic.


Friday, March 12, 2012 - Central Banks are now monetizing DEBT = the end.


Updated Sections: Gold & Silver Juniors, 

No comment - see video below.

The Fed & Central Banks have been lying about (downplaying) inflation for years. The Consumer Price Index (CPI) scale used to measure U.S. consumer price inflation is an open charade, allowing the Authorities, to basically “report” much lower inflation than we in reality have.

If, for example, the weighting methodologies used by the Fed & ECB to measure CPI inflation in the 1980s were used today, the CPI-measured inflation would be closer to 10% instead of the reported 2%. 

Shadow stat inflation 2021 03 11
The Fed & ECB, need to keep its debt-driven façade of “recovery” in motion and has no choice but to invent a respectably controlled (LOW) CPI inflation rate in order to make Treasury bonds look even moderately attractive to others.

Low inflation figures do have a severe impact on the GDP figures published by the authorities. Nominal growth of for example 3% with a 2% inflation rate, results in only a 1% growth, where a nominal growth of 3% with a 10% inflation rate, results in a 7% contraction of GDP (a severe recession). so, with cooked inflation figures, it is possible for the Authorities and Central Bankers to pretend we have a growing economy while in reality, we sit in a recession.

The artificially created amount of Fiat money out of thin air (inflation) results in BUBBLES or incorrect valuations of DEBT and ASSETS (Stocks, Real Estate).

Today, we are facing multiple bubbles as opposed to just the sub-prime crisis in 2007-2008.  We have another bubble in real estate but back in 2007, all we had was a bubble in real estate.  We really didn’t have a massive bubble in the stock market.  The total market cap to GDP was only 100% back in 2007.  Today, it’s 191% of GDP, and, of course, you have a massive bubble in the bond market.  You have $15 trillion in negative-yielding sovereign debt and a U.S. Treasury at .3% in March of 2020. 

We have a triumvirate of bubbles that are all held together by this artificially low-interest rate.  Here’s the catch 22. . . . We are sending more checks to people, $1,400 checks in Biden’s Covid relief package.  So, we are monetizing debt.  We are creating even more inflation.  If you continue to print money, borrow money and monetize that debt, inflation is going to wax higher and higher...until we have hyperinflation.

They are going to blow up the bond market.  If you blow up the bond market, you will blow up credit, you blow up the real estate market, and then the stock market.  The only buyer of U.S. Treasury bonds . . . is the Federal Reserve.  If they lose the bid of the Fed and it stops printing money and buying . . . rates spike . . . and then you see a massive deflationary bubble from a massive fiscal and monetary cliff.  Whether we have Hyperinflation or Deflation, it’s game over either way, and that’s where we are now.  If you keep printing and keep manipulating markets, you have a bond market crisis and a currency crisis.  Stop printing, you have a deflationary crash of asset prices.  That’s it, that’s where we are headed.” When is this going to come undone?  Probably later this year (the third or fourth quarter of 2021).

"It's game over either way: if you keep creating fiat money, you have a bond market crisis. Stop printing, you have a deflationary crash of asset prices."

This is a very fragile economy. . . .When you see the credit market freeze and that zombie companies can’t issue new debt, and borrowing costs go into double digits and companies start closing the doors and laying off people. A massive depression follows (unemployment figures still go up by 700,000 to 800,000 each week) . . . what is going to be the solution from the central banks?.. The Fed can’t lower interest rates.  They can only increase QE (money printing).  If they create more fiat money out of thin air, they destroy the currencies even more. How do you bail out an inflationary crisis in the bond market by creating more inflation?  That’s impossible.”

Important Fundamentals:

  • If bond markets continue to fall and interest rates continue to rise, the reason will be
  • This time, interest rates will go up NOT because of
  • The stock market is in serious trouble...but not the trouble most investors think it is.

Important Technicals:

  • More TOP-building and a MATURING TOP for
  • Several Long Term buy signals on the PF-charts in the section for xxxxxx.

© - Tous droits réservés - Le contenu de ce rapport ne peut être copié, reproduit ou distribué sans le consentement écrit explicite de Goldonomic.


Wednesday/Thursday, March 10-11, 2021 - Everything Bubble is Reaching a Limit - Anybody Betting Against Gold Is Going to Lose big.


Updated Sections:Royalty Co'sGold & Silver Majors, Miners & Gold vs SPX, Investment Pyramid
Buy Gold, Buy Silver, Gold & Silver Juniors

"With another $1.9 trillion Corona stimulus package that just passed in the Senate, we are getting closer to finding out how much funny money a country can print out of thin air before it all blows up."

how rich people investRich people don’t need another country home of a third yacht.  So, they are going to put money in something they trust more than the U.S. Dollar, the Euro, the Pound Sterling, the Yen,. . . . Today it becomes clear that money, big money, that is scared to death about what’s going to happen with the dollar, the Euro, the Sterling,... in the future, and they are seeking a safe place to park it.  There is greed too, but the primary thing they are looking for is something that is outside the digital financial system and even better out of political reach.

Apart from Real Estate, which also sits in a bubble and will severely crash once the currencies crash, there really are not a lot of choices. Especially not if you want to stay out of the Digital Financial System (where they can seize your savings with one click on ENTER).

Anybody Betting Against Gold Is Going to Lose big.

A “Great Silver Crisis” is looming.  While the price of the white metal has backed off recently, it is still way up from last year.  Silver is still the most undervalued asset out there, and we expect more frenzied buying as people flee fiat currencies printed to infinity.   Few people know that Silver is both MONEY and a COMMODITY in high demand.

We are reaching a limit on everything across the board with the ‘Everything Bubble,’ the overvalued ‘Everything Bubble.’ What is not overvalued?  It’s pretty much the commodities.  We are going from a financial economy where 70% is a consumer economy and an economy of High Order Capital Goods to an economy of what is needed (or a Low order Consumer Goods economy).  This is the commodity sector.  You need corn, wheat, rice, soybeans, cotton and look at lumber.  I mean all these things are going up.

A crash is NEVER called by the Media...never. Either you prepare BEFORE it happens, either you are HERD and you will die with the HERD when a Crash happens. Cryptocurrencies tell us a CRASH is imminent. Imminent doesn't mean today or tomorrow but rather between NOW and 2025.

There is a point that you can’t go any further, and I think we are reaching that point.  The silver market is signaling something.  The Treasury market is signaling something.  I think the stock market with the NASDAQ getting hammered is signaling something.  I think the Bitcoin surge is signaling something.  I think there are a lot of clues out there, that if you stop and look, they are signaling loud and clear that we are getting very close to what I am calling “The Great Currency Debacle” or currency crisis we have warned about for years.”

This crisis did NOT start with Covid. It started BEFORE...Politicians and Authorities are making it all WORSE (as usual and as one can expect from politicians). This is Murphy's law applied to something which already was about to blow...Openly absurd risk-asset bubbles and the artificial measures central bankers and politicos will and must employ to postpone the inevitable, make it all worse than it already was.

middle east oil

Democrats are barely back in the White House or the BOMBING in the Middle-East has resumed. No doubt they like WAR, bombing, and killing people. Important for the USA however is not only the fact that this sends again plenty of DOLLARS to the US-Military sector but at the same time pushes the price of CRUDE OIL up to around and/or slightly above the marginal production price. Frackers may need a slightly higher price, but I am sure we'll get there. For more details on the production price, see the Oil share and Oil section on the site.

The 7-SISTERS (Big Oil companies) are in financial trouble. Especially those oil companies who have borrowed a lot of money to keep the FRACKING going in the USA.  Higher Oil prices are required as they help these Frackers to survive the Depression and Oilprice crisis we had last year.

Note: After The 7 sisters (Oil co.) we now have the 7 brothers (Big Pharma). Basically the same story but different.

Important Fundamentals:

  • They will "try" to keep
  • Central Banks are Doubling the creation of money supply in order to
  • The debt bubble is the biggest bubble EVER. 
  • Interest rates are NOT rising because the economy is picking up as they pretend it is.

Important Technicals:

  • Another STRONG case in favor of Physical Gold & Physical Silver.
Gold is as cheap as in 1970 (vs. Fiat Money) Gold is as cheap as in 1970 (vs. Stocks)
   
Silver will be Gold on Steroids. This is a case for PHYSICAL Gold & Silver!
We have a cycle LOW for Gold. A cycle LOW for Gold.

© - Tous droits réservés - Le contenu de ce rapport ne peut être copié, reproduit ou distribué sans le consentement écrit explicite de Goldonomic.


Monday/Tuesday, March 8-9. 2021 - Another sign the Gold & Silver sector is nearing a bottom. ,


Updated Sections: Real Estate, Index In Real Money/Gold (the most important section of 
the site
, Long Term Charts, Swedish Krona & Gold, Aussie & Gold, Yen & Gold, SA Rand & Gold

fools gold smallThe financial system was terminated in 1971 when the convertibility of the Dollar into Gold was abolished. Because the Dollar was and is also the reserve currency of other currencies, at the same time, most other financial systems were also destroyed.

I know it is extremely hard to understand why and how it is not possible that FIAT FINANCIAL SYSTEMS by definition cannot survive. They only do for some time (40 to max 50 years). The only way to keep such a Ponzi-system alive is to permanently increase the total quantity of currencies in circulation (understand debt – debt = currencies).

At the end of the cycle, in order to avoid a breakdown and because of the universal mechanism controlling currencies, it becomes a requirement to increase DEBT (and hence Fiat Money) in an EXPONENTIAL way. By doing this, we always create BUBBLES and run into HYPERINFLATION. This is how the Financial System (Central Banks) commits suicide.

Once we have Hyperinflation, the people start to mistrust the Authorities, and the Financial system and massively try to get out of the Financial System and Currencies. This is why and how currencies become worthless: Weimar, Zimbabwe, Venezuela,...

The authorities (professional politicians - mostly patented idiots and/or psychopaths) either don't care, either are too stupid to understand this mechanism and do whatever lies in their power to ensure we get this Hyperinflation.

Professional Politicians only chase and collect “Fools Gold”. That is why they create DEBT (= Currency) like there is no tomorrow. This allows them to get rich over a short period of time. Note that the proof that they only chase FIAT MONEY and not Real Money (Gold), lies with the fact that they personally never hoard Gold. They only go for Fiat Money and Bubble Assets. [only 0.5% of the public holds Real Money or Gold].

As time goes on, it becomes harder and harder to find new ways to create even more DEBT (=Fiat Money). Hence the need for: Holes in the Ozon layer, Acid Rain, CO2, Global Climate warming, Renewable Energy, COVID-pandemia, donations to poor Africans, Wars, a.o. ... are welcome excuses.


Electric vehicles also involve energy-intensive lithium-ion batteries. Few realize how much energy is embedded in an electric vehicle before it is ever plugged in. Over the life of a typical EV, nearly 40% of the total energy goes into manufacturing the battery. The IEA expects electric vehicles will represent nearly 15% of total transportation energy by 2040. If so, we calculate this equates to approximately 850 mm EVs and nearly 65 terawatt-hours of batteries. This is a staggering amount considering global lithium-ion manufacturing capacity is currently less than 0.4 terawatt-hours per year. These batteries will require an incredible 2 billion tonnes of oil equivalent to build. Click here for more

Unfortunately, few people realize how energy intensive the “green transition” will be. As a result, much (if not all) of the carbon savings will be undone by generating the power in the first place. The IEA’s proposal assumes wind and solar makeup nearly 50% of all electricity by 2040 and that some 850 mm electric vehicles will be on the road. These initiatives are expected to reduce CO2 by 55% or 18 bn tonnes per year. While this may sound impressive, simply moving away from coal towards much-cleaner natural gas would itself save nearly 14 bn tonnes of CO2 per year. When analyzed through this perspective, renewables would save an incremental 4 bn tonnes compared with the next cleanest option.


European Banks are in a TERRIBLE SHAPE!

causes of great depressionBanks in Germany Tell Customers to Take Deposits Elsewhere. Interest rates have been negative in Europe for years. But it took the flood of savings unleashed in the pandemic for banks finally to charge depositors in earnest.

Germany’s biggest lenders, Deutsche Bank AG and Commerzbank have told new customers since last year to pay a 0.5% annual rate to keep large sums of money with them. The banks say they can no longer absorb the negative interest rates the European Central Bank charges them. The more customer deposits banks have, the more they have to park with the central bank.

That is creating an unusual incentive, where banks that usually want deposits as an inexpensive form of financing, are essentially telling customers to go away. Banks are even providing new online tools to help customers take their deposits elsewhere.

Banks in Europe resisted passing negative rates on to customers when the ECB first introduced them in 2014, fearing the backlash. 

Important Fundamentals:

  • The pigs have wings and they fly !! 

Important Technicals:

  • Another sign we’re nearing a bottom.

© - Tous droits réservés - Le contenu de ce rapport ne peut être copié, reproduit ou distribué sans le consentement écrit explicite de Goldonomic.


Friday, March 5, 2021 - It is politicians crushing the economy...not covid!


Updated Sections: US Dollar, Rupee GoldSwiss Franc & Gold, Euro & €-Gold
Candollar & Gold, British Pound & Gold, World Stock Market Indexes

yellenIt is politicians crushing the economy, not Covid.  The situation can be compared to the 1920s-1930s where the politicians and authorities made exactly the same mistakes. One example is that they ordered to have the CROPS burned in order to avoid LOWER PRICES. The Idiots of professional politicians didn't realize that the demand for FOOD was actually falling because the net spendable income of the consumers had drastically fallen.

"The US federal government is now spending over $8 trillion per year while collecting less than $3,5 trillion in taxes. This is unprecedented reckless spending".

Today, exactly the same is happening. Professional Politicians are, because of some bad flu crushing the whole economy. They even use WAR MEASURES like curfews in order to try to bring the total number of casualties to the impossible level of ZERO. You really have to be a psychopath to even think such is even possible. Now that the world economy continues to be slaughtered by measures that don't work in the 1st place, some politicians start to admit their stupidity and are abolishing ALL Covid-restrictions: Texas, Mississippi, South Dakota,...

"Successful entrepreneurs don't go into politics and those who do (ex. Trump) are removed by the SWAMP."

Professional politicians and their staff (the petty government officials) are pushing the USA and the World deeper into debt. They keep suffocating the economy with more legislation (rules) and keep debasing the currencies by printing even more (EXPONENTIAL) amounts of fiat money.   Every student knows that such ends with a lot of tears and drama. The fact that today "exponential" has become part of the narrative, points to the fact that THE END IS NEAR and that those who remain stubborn and don't move their savings out of this DIGITAL financial system will end as bag holders. Just like those who kept playing the Stock Market in the years 1920 lost it all. It was so bad that in New York people jumped off the skyscrapers.

 Politicians are either IDIOTS, either PSYCHOPATHS  Yes, not hard to be smarter than a politician.

Prepare NOW for a once-in-a-lifetime opportunity!

middle class money trapsMost people still don't understand the mechanisms of Real Estate pricing.  Either they are stubborn and protecting their own incorrect vision, either they refuse to understand the reality. We compare it to the Bitcoin and cryptocurrency traders. Only that when buying Real Estate, the odds are that at the end of the run, you will be left with something but Thin Air in your hands. That is on the condition your property is not SEIZED (1917-USSR), bombed (WW2-1940-45), or heavily taxed (Germany 1950s).

Few people realize that at the TOP of the Market, the Real Estate sector dries out. Impossible to sell at the expected price levels. Selling becomes only possible at much lower levels: -50% to -60%. When this happens, those who bought Real Estate with a mortgage really are in deep trouble.

What most Real Estate lovers don't realize, is that during recessions and depressions, the Real Estate Bubbles ALWAYS burst and deflate because the Real Purchasing power of the consumer disappears. When this happens, kids stay with their parents. Often kids, parents, and grandparents live under one roof. When the former is impossible, people live in their cars or on the streets as we see in the BIG DEMOCRATIC state of California.

We don't doubt that sometime in the near future, Real Estate will offer a tremendous investment opportunity for those who managed to preserve their purchasing power (and such cannot be done by investing in Bonds and/or Shares).  During the Weimar-depression, one could buy a whole street with 2 gold coins only. Things got so bad, the legislator had to put into place a law whereby non-Germans could not buy German Real Estate. In the USA, during the great depression of the 1930s, one could buy a Skyscraper for 2 only gold coins.

More recently, in 1980-1981 one could buy a Single Family house for less than 1,500 x 1 oz. Silver coins. This time, because of the Terrible BIG Bubble Real Estate is in and because Silver and also Gold are terribly undervalued, we expect to see that even smaller amounts of Silver and Gold coins will buy a single-family home.  The TRICK will be to make sure the Government, the Authorities don't STEAL (SEIZE) your Gold & Silver holdings. We know HOW!

Goldreal estate ratio 2021 03 03 Silverreal estate ratio 2021 03 03
In 1980 - 85 x 1 oz. Gold coins bought 1 house. In 2011 - 5,521 x 1 oz. Silver coins bought 1 house

Important Fundamentals:

Important Technicals:

  • Bearish Head and Shoulders pattern
  • The MAL-zones and/or lines are clearly indicated on all our PF-charts

© - Tous droits réservés - Le contenu de ce rapport ne peut être copié, reproduit ou distribué sans le consentement écrit explicite de Goldonomic.


Wednesday/Thursday, March 3-4, 2021 - “People have an extreme brevity of the financial memory.” - Galbraith.


Updated Sections: Gold-$Silver, ALL charts in sections are updated with fresh comments!

"The problem Gold has, is that Silver is about to break an important resistance level (see charts below), and if Gold runs, Silver will break this level for sure and add dramatically to the already huge losses the COMEX, LMBA, and Gold Banks have."

Goldonomic is for the HAPPY FEW only. For those who desire to understand HOW the Financial system and the economy function and HOW to safeguard Purchasing Power in the best possible way. Goldonomic is NOT for TRADERS, SCALPERS, ALGO-TRADERS, GAMERS, The HERD, not for at least 80% of all investors, Professional and/or private. 

Want more fiat money or want more purchasing power.!? You have to make up your mind NOW. The key is to survive this game...not to play the casino.

Bonds investors worldwide face a very bleak future. Few realize that fiat money holders, pension fund beneficiaries, etc...are also Bond investors. Once pensions get worthless (read lose their purchasing power), people will be forced to sell their homes and will so add the already huge supply.

"Nothing undercuts your rational thinking more (assuming the thinking process is correct) than watching your neighbor getting rich."

In 2008-09 most people who invested in Real Estate lost 50% of their net assets value. During the years preceding the crash, many used the profits made in the Stock Market to buy Real Estate and before they realized it, both stocks, bonds, and real estate crashed.

When stocks rise illogically on the backs of speculative (QE/debt-driven) policies which in fact have no logic despite the credentialed “logic” of their policymakers, the paper wealth which follows and grows in their wake acquires the delusion of permanence, even stability.

Twitter lost $1.14 billion in 2020. Like dollars, Bitcoins are backed by faith, not a physical asset. In short: fiat or belief. “Expert Logic” can be openly delusional, but also in how predictively the mad crowds would follow such expert delusion toward even greater speculation, greater bubbles, and alas, greater pain when they pop.

 "The ultimate delusion is the delusion of paper wealth."

The ultimate delusion is the delusion of paper wealth. Speculative bubbles or even mass psychology, such as delusions of popularity, logic, profit, and even efficiency are historically quite common and very dangerous. Delusions are not only held by retail investors riding a speculative wave that will eventually drown them, but also by what they call “experts”.

Point & Figures charts are an important instrument for investing in a sound way. Following PF-charts avoid one follow Algho-traders, Daily Winners (and losers), stock pickers. It shows us that when the tide goes up or comes down, most investment instruments go up or come down.

"Investing wisely, preserving, and building your purchasing power, is in fact a very easy exercise."


Important Fundamentals:

About interest rates and Physical Gold and Silver:

  • Bond yields

Important Technicals:

  • PF-charts are of GREAT help and seldom betray you. Over the past 45 years that I work with these, they seldom betrayed me. Few know that ALL information always is in the price at all times and PF-charts are charts that show the information over a longer period of time.  The shorter the chart, the less reliable it is. Very important is to go through several key-chart as it is exactly this exercise that tells you what is going on and how you should invest.
$-xxxx - This is a very bullish picture. $-xxxx - This is a very bullish picture.
 
xxx - This is a very bullish picture. xxx - This is a very bullish picture.
xxxx - This is a very bullish picture. xxxx - This is a very bullish picture.

© - Tous droits réservés - Le contenu de ce rapport ne peut être copié, reproduit ou distribué sans le consentement écrit explicite de Goldonomic.


Monday/Tuesday, March 1-2, 2021 - “Three Delusions: Paper Wealth, a Booming Economy, and Bitcoin.”.


Updated Sections:$-Gold, Silver, HUI , Indexes, (short candles & PF) ,

Long but very interesting video - a must-watch. FOUR HORSEMEN is an award-winning independent feature documentary that lifts the lid on how the world really works.

  • There is no more “State of Law”. The world is controlled by BIG Oil, BIG PHARMA, BIG MILITARY-INDUSTRY, BIG TECHNOLOGY, BIG BANKS,... who buy the services of the professional politicians and do whatever they are ordered to. Constitutions have become nothing more but a piece of paper...for the simple minds who still 'believe the lies of the Professional Politicians.
  • Fiat Money can – by definition – not survive and never does. Even if they call it a cryptocurrency. It ll started in 1971 when the gold window was closed and the end of the Fiat system is very near.
  • Once the Fiat system implodes (nobody knows when), we will experience severe deflation.
  • Todays' Banking system is a FRAUD, a Ponzi Scheme. There is no way to economically justify that one can create money out of thin air (fractional reserve banking) and charge interest on it.
  • Today's international politics are again (Biden) controlled by the Military-industry (WAR) and this will end in more terrorism and more bloodshed. Terrorists are NOT what they are pictured by the Mainstream Media.
  • The Media are fully controlled by the Professional Politicians and the BIG-CORPORATIONS.
  • Because of what today's society has become, one can be sure that it will all not only end with more depression but also with Revolutions, Civil Wars, World Wars.



World leaders are stepping into the same high inflation trap as Jimmy Carter.  They are raising taxes because their revenues have declined.  This is the mismanagement of the government on steroids.  You have destroyed your economy and raised taxes so you can keep it the way it is, but you never reduced your expenses.  It’s totally insane.  They have destroyed New York City. . . . This is why the stock market is going up, collectibles are going up, coins, stamps, and even comic books are all going up.  It’s sort of like the German hyperinflation. . . . Once the government started confiscating people’s money . . . they started buying everything they could with the cash, and that turned into this hyperinflation.  They were buying anything tangible, art, land, you name it.  That is what this is all about now.  Going into 2024, we are looking at a wave of inflation which will be in equities and commodities, but we are also looking at shortages particularly in agriculture and going all the way up.”

Preparing Rather than Timing the Death of Paper “Wealth”.  “LOGIC” however, misses the historical point that boom-to-bust cycles don’t have clearly defined expiration dates, especially when those natural cycles are un-naturally extended via equally un-natural and illogical “stimulus” from global central banks. Thus, rather than mire one’s self in the “logical” debate of timing a crisis (a fool’s errand), more informed, and hence logical minds, should be otherwise engaged in preparing for one. Once assets climb too far from the plow of real valuation, the end is not only brutal but inevitable.

"As happened for more than 6,000 years (as usual), PHYSICAL GOLD & SILVER will survive."

Three Delusions: Paper Wealth, a Booming Economy, and Bitcoin.

  1. The danger of Bitcoin that people don’t understand is the government is not going to allow competition.  When it really gets to the point where they have to do something, they will just seize all the cryptocurrencies and give you an exchange rate swap, and they will be the ones who decide the price.  Then, you will get the government digital currency.” As soon as cash has been pushed back or stripped away entirely, monetary policymakers can implement an uninhibited negative interest rate policy to devalue debt. Customers can no longer get out of the “bank balance sheet”; the final escape door is then locked...and your savings in BIG DANGER.
  2. Depressions (and history proofs it) always follow Hyperinflation. There is no way around it as it is IMPOSSIBLE to buy yourself out of DEBT by creating more debt and it is impossible to PRINT yourself out of a recession by creating more fiat money. If such was possible, Venezuela and Zimbabwe would be the richest countries on planet Earth.
  3. As we have DEFLATION all wealth-bubbles (real estate, stocks, bonds, collectibles, antique cars, ETFs', bank deposits,..a.o.) will bust and deflate. Savings will be severely eroded and the situation will be even worse as the price of LOW ORDER CONSUMER GOODS (Food, Commodities,...) will soar. As happened for more than 6,000 years (as usual), PHYSICAL GOLD & SILVER will survive.  At that time, the price you paid for your Physical Gold and Silver will then be completely IRRELEVANT.

For subscribers only: There is a shortage of Silver and demand is rising. 

"There was no alternate. Whatever the FIAT money losses are, they had no choice but to hammer Gold and silver prices down so they (BIS, FED, ECB, IMF, JP MORGAN, Goldman Sachs,..) don't get into BIG TROUBLE this coming month and the month of May." [a deja vu of the 1960-70 Gold Pool]

Important Fundamentals:

  • On rising interest rates and weaker bonds.
  • China’s shale boom over before it began.
  • USA shale production 
  • Crude oil 

Important Technicals:

  • We have a FULL MOON 

 © - All Rights Reserved - The contents of this report may NOT be copied, reproduced, or distributed without the explicit written consent of Goldonomic.

CLICK HERE FOR FEBRUARY 2021

 

 

 

Categories: Nouvelles

Le Cron démarre